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Global decline in pollination limitation of pollinator-dependent crops.

PubMed · 2026-06-15

Despite widespread wild pollinator declines, crop yield gaps from inadequate pollination have actually fallen by half since 1950 — driven by increasingly effective managed pollinator programs. Wild pollinator conservation remains critical for long-term resilience, but current agricultural pollination management has successfully offset much of the expected yield loss.

1

Pollination limitation averages 36% across pollinator-dependent crops, meaning plants routinely produce about a third less than their potential under ideal pollination.

2

Pollination limitation declined by 50% between 1950 and the 2010s, but only in fields using managed pollinators — unmanaged fields showed no measurable improvement over the same period.

3

Meta-analysis of 790 effect sizes across 86 crops found that autogamy (self-pollination ability) independently reduces yield gaps, pointing toward breeding self-fertile traits as a complementary strategy.

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