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Crop-duster crash data reveals maintenance, not pilots, as top risk

OpenAlex · 2026-08-27

Researchers built a computer model mapping how crop-dusting plane crashes happen in Brazil, finding that poor aircraft maintenance and weak oversight cause more accidents than pilot error alone.

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Analysis of 16 CENIPA accident reports (2017-2024) identified 67 weighted event-factor relationships across 20 causal factors

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Community detection revealed three risk clusters: Powerplant Failure Syndrome, Organisational Deficiency Cascade, and Low-Altitude Control Loss (modularity Q = 0.207)

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Betweenness centrality showed maintenance deficiency and supervisory failure act as causal bridges that outrank pilot-error factors, supporting a shift in regulatory focus toward maintenance oversight

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